Fed, Inflation
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A number of factors, including a lack of significant gains in auto prices, are masking the extent of the shift.
Critics of President Trump's tariff policies have been waiting for the import taxes to raise the inflation rate. That effect may be beginning.
With June's inflation reading coming in hotter than the month prior, the Fed is under renewed pressure to maintain its current target range for the federal funds rate. Analysts now see little chance of a rate cut in the near term. That means HELOC borrowers are unlikely to see significant rate drops anytime soon.
Traders are paring bets on near-term rate cuts, and Treasury bond yields are edging higher, amid stubborn underlying inflation pressures tied to the president’s myriad tariffs. Trump himself said through his social media account that borrowing costs should be “3 points” lower. “One Trillion Dollars a year would be saved,” he declared.
Tariffs contributed modestly to the rise of inflation last month, analysts told ABC News, citing the price hikes in product categories made up primarily of imports. But, they added, overall price increases owed largely to a rise in housing and food products with little connection to tariffs.
A changing pricing environment and renewed social inflation worries will be among the focal points for US property and casualty insurers when they release second quarter results.
New data showing price increases last month could foreshadow even higher costs if the president imposes steep tariffs on Aug. 1.
The Consumer Price Index reveals prices grew faster in June than in May. The annual inflation rate ticked up to 2.7%, the highest level since February. With new tariffs set for August, economists warn prices could go up more.