Kalshi and Polymarket have promoted themselves as more accurate alternatives to opinion polls. But just how good are ...

We have not even reached the 2026 primaries in Colorado, but pollsters are already looking at the 2028 presidential election.

Prediction markets, where users can place bets on real-world outcomes in anything from sports and award shows to elections, ...

How prediction market “sharps” have made millions wagering on everything from war to Rotten Tomatoes. Credit...Illustration ...

During the month of May there were Australian by-elections on three successive Saturdays. There was a swing in votes to the ...

Yesterday, Trump said he was an hour away from deciding to launch new strikes against Iran before he called them off. He said he delayed them because "serious negotiations" were happening, and said he ...

Democrats believe they can win the Georgia gubernatorial race for the first time in more than 25 years in the 2026 midterms.

WASHINGTON, DC: An X post claims that some members of Congress are calling for an investigation into Elon Musk’s alleged early knowledge of Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential victory. The post further ...

President Donald Trump had repeatedly criticized Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky – and backed his challenger in a closely watched primary.

Global platform — unprecedented — real-time cross-referencing of prediction markets, electoral polls and news. Built and validated during the 2026 electoral cycle across South American countries + 14 ...

Who will win the House and Senate? New polls suggest voter sentiment remains fluid as the 2026 midterm elections approach, setting up a competitive fight for control of Congress — and what it could ...

A version of this story appeared in CNN’s What Matters newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here. Billions of dollars are changing hands each week on prediction markets, sites whose ...