Guarantees in life are scarce. So when a global pandemic throws our environment into disarray, it is natural to shy away from ambiguity and lean into patterns that align with our worldview. Various ...

Every day, Americans benefit from consumer-friendly technology that has radically improved every aspect of their lives. But these benefits have lagged in healthcare due to its distinct complexities ...

Ambiguity and its cousins, contradiction and paradox, are everywhere in mathematics, both in content and thinking. Strangely, the subject that appears to be the very paradigm of reason, and that is ...

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 51, No. 3 (December 2015), pp. 219-244 (26 pages) We develop a tractable method to estimate multiple prior models of decisionmaking under ambiguity. In a ...

It’s safe to assume that accelerated change is here to stay. At the core of today’s frequent disruptions is ambiguity: ...

As Heather McLeod and Leslie Crutchfield observed in describing the difficulty of creating high-impact nonprofits, social innovators often face obstacles that have nothing to do with their own ...

What should America do about China’s increasingly hostile stance toward Taiwan? Some have called for clear and specific promises to protect Taiwan in the event of a crisis. Such promises would break ...